Wednesday, February 6, 2013

Decision Making


Introduction
 In our ever-changing society, organizations are forced to progress with the times in order to remain dynamic. Each day, organizations are required to make sound decisions that will potentially improve the organization. Decision making can be regarded as the mental processes (cognitive process) resulting in the selection of a course of action among several alternative scenarios. Every decision making process produces a final choice. The output can be an action or an opinion of choice.
We use our decision making skills to solve problems by selecting one course of action from several possible alternatives. Decision making skills are also a key component of time management skills.
Decision making can be hard. Almost any decision involves some conflicts or dissatisfaction. The difficult part is to pick one solution where the positive outcome can outweigh possible losses. Avoiding decisions often seems easier. Yet, making your own decisions and accepting the consequences are the only way to stay in control of your time, your success, and your life.

Decisions
         Made up of a composite of information, data, facts and belief.
         Data by itself does not constitute useful information unless it is analyzed and processed.

A Decision     
        Is only as good as the data that informed it
        Is only as good as it is an informed one
        Is only as good as the system which exists to implement
        Is only good if you have the means to implement it
        Is only good if other people understand it and what it means

Kinds of Decisions
There are several basic kinds of decisions.
1. Decisions whether This is the yes/no, either/or decision that must be made before we proceed with the selection of an alternative. Should I buy a new TV? Should I travel this summer? Decisions whether are made by weighing reasons pro and con. The PMI technique discussed in the next chapter is ideal for this kind of decision.
It is important to be aware of having made a decision whether, since too often we assume that decision making begins with the identification of alternatives, assuming that the decision to choose one has already been made.
2. Decisions which  These decisions involve a choice of one or more alternatives from among a set of possibilities, the choice being based on how well each alternative measures up to a set of predefined criteria.
3. Contingent decisions These are decisions that have been made but put on hold until some condition is met.
For example, I have decided to buy that car if I can get it for the right price; I have decided to write that article if I can work the necessary time for it into my schedule. OR even, we’ll take the route through the valley if we can control the ridge and if we detect no enemy activity to the north.
Most people carry around a set of already made, contingent decisions, just waiting for the right conditions or opportunity to arise. Time, energy, price, availability, opportunity, encouragement--all these factors can figure into the necessary conditions that need to be met before we can act on our decision. Some contingent decisions are unstated or even exist below the awareness of the decision maker. These are the type that occurs when we seize opportunity. We don't walk around thinking, "If I see a new laser printer for $38, I'll buy it," but if we happen upon a deal like that and we have been contemplating getting a new printer, the decision is made quickly. Decisions made in sports and warfare is like this. The best contingent and opportunistic decisions are made by the prepared mind--one that has thought about criteria and alternatives in the past. 

Decision making Model
"Decision making is a process of first diverging to explore the possibilities and then converging on a solution(s)". To come to these decisions, management often implements a decision-making model that outlines the steps necessary to make logical and effective decisions. The following paper will discuss how the 5 steps included in the decision making model assist in generating productive and positive outcomes. The steps discussed include framing, deciding, communicating, implementing and evaluating. 

Framing
The first section in the decision-making process is framing. Framing involves clarifying the reasons and restrictions for the decision, gathering of information, identifying who is affected by the decision and who will make the decision. Additional parts of framing include identifying any expertise needed to make an informed decision, identifying information or resources which will assist in the decision making process, defining a timeline for which the decision needs to be made and communicating to the involved parties who will be responsible for making the decision and why that person is qualified for the role. 
Deciding
The second section discussed is deciding. The four steps illustrated in deciding are to explain in detail how the decision will be made, appropriate tools available to support the gathering of data, make the decision with the consideration of several ideas and identify who will execute the decision. When deciding how the decision will be made, organizations often use a consensus. The consensus allows all affected people to voice their opinion on the issue. Organizations will also apply several methods when gathering information, such as brainstorming and designing flowcharts. 
Communicating
Communicating is another essential section in the decision-making process. In the communication section, parties summarize the reason for the decision and communicate why the decision was made. If a group within the organization lacks the ability to properly convey their views, reaching a final decision can be a timely and stressful process. 
Implementing
Implementing is the next section in the decision-making model. The steps involved in implementing are to define the steps for executing the decision, which includes determining the timeframe for expected completion, and defining the process for reporting a complete decision. 
Evaluating
The final step in the decision-making process is evaluation. This step is crucial because evaluating allows the organization to observe the outcomes of its decision. Without evaluating the outcome, an organization would not know if the decision was effective or ineffective.

Conclusion
In everyday life we often have to make decisions fast, without enough time to systematically go through the above action and thinking steps. In such situations the most effective decision making strategy is to keep an eye on your goals and then let your intuition suggest you the right choice. 

Decision-making models are a useful tool when deciding upon important issues. They help to give structure and encourage critical thinking. Many organizations in the past, allowed individuals to make important decisions without consulting the people who would be affected. In turn, decisions failed and proved to be timely and costly for the organization.

Decision making is used to solve problems by selecting one course of action from several possible alternatives. It also can be a key component of time management skills. Different individuals and companies use various types of decision-making models. Most models must move through the basic stages in decision making.   They are every part of producing good judgment.


References:
http://www.the-happy-manager.com/rational-decision-making-model.html
http://www.1000ventures.com/business_guide/crosscuttings/decision_making_main.html

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